Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002711 0.002901 0.003106 0.003345 0.003619 0.003923 0.004292
2024-10-20 0.002344 0.002585 0.002859 0.003199 0.003617 0.004122 0.004796
2024-10-27 0.002153 0.002429 0.002758 0.003187 0.003747 0.004478 0.005552
2024-11-03 0.001920 0.002195 0.002529 0.002979 0.003590 0.004426 0.005740
2024-11-10 0.001835 0.002130 0.002500 0.003016 0.003750 0.004822 0.006672
2024-11-17 0.001775 0.002089 0.002493 0.003076 0.003946 0.005304 0.007899
2024-11-24 0.001693 0.002012 0.002431 0.003050 0.004006 0.005578 0.008856
2024-12-01 0.001654 0.001988 0.002436 0.003118 0.004219 0.006150 0.010692
2024-12-08 0.001595 0.001932 0.002390 0.003104 0.004294 0.006491 0.012202
2024-12-15 0.001529 0.001862 0.002322 0.003048 0.004288 0.006669 0.013409
2024-12-22 0.001505 0.001849 0.002332 0.003115 0.004504 0.007360 0.016812
2024-12-29 0.001482 0.001835 0.002339 0.003176 0.004720 0.008119 0.021617
2025-01-05 0.001430 0.001782 0.002288 0.003144 0.004767 0.008534 0.026054
2025-01-12 0.001361 0.001699 0.002189 0.003023 0.004623 0.008426 0.027531
2025-01-19 0.001324 0.001662 0.002158 0.003016 0.004712 0.008986 0.035625
2025-01-26 0.001247 0.001564 0.002028 0.002828 0.004402 0.008323 0.031736
2025-02-02 0.001226 0.001548 0.002024 0.002862 0.004566 0.009123 0.046040
2025-02-09 0.001212 0.001539 0.002032 0.002917 0.004788 0.010228 0.082421
2025-02-16 0.001181 0.001506 0.001998 0.002893 0.004825 0.010730 0.129572
2025-02-23 0.001170 0.001502 0.002011 0.002956 0.005077 0.012222 0.817115
2025-03-02 0.001146 0.001475 0.001985 0.002943 0.005145 0.013011 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001115 0.001438 0.001941 0.002892 0.005105 0.013292 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001106 0.001436 0.001953 0.002953 0.005371 0.015367 NaN